SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hertha Berlin in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Heidenheim |
43.74% ( -0.36) | 23.8% ( 0.08) | 32.46% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 61.05% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.05% ( -0.26) | 40.94% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.66% ( -0.27) | 63.33% ( 0.26) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( -0.26) | 19% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.45% ( -0.43) | 50.55% ( 0.43) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.37% ( 0.04) | 24.63% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.86% ( 0.06) | 59.14% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.37% Total : 43.74% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.46% |
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