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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Heidenheim |
29.49% ( 0.32) | 23.53% ( 0.13) | 46.99% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 60.44% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.94% ( -0.4) | 41.06% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.54% ( -0.41) | 63.45% ( 0.41) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.46% ( 0.01) | 26.54% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.25% ( 0.02) | 61.75% ( -0.02) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.27% ( -0.33) | 17.72% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.61% ( -0.57) | 48.39% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 2-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.49% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.39% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.81% Total : 46.99% |
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