SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Hoffenheim |
46.63% ( -0.1) | 22.7% ( 0.16) | 30.66% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 64.18% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.55% ( -0.84) | 36.45% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.41% ( -0.92) | 58.59% ( 0.92) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.91% ( -0.36) | 16.08% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.52% ( -0.65) | 45.47% ( 0.65) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% ( -0.45) | 23.51% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.44% ( -0.65) | 57.55% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.75% Total : 46.63% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.66% |
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