SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 86.48%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 4.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.77%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (1.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
86.48% ( 0.27) | 8.75% ( -0.13) | 4.76% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.52% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 80.44% ( -0.08) | 19.55% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 62.54% ( -0.11) | 37.46% ( 0.11) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.01% ( 0.02) | 2.98% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 86.54% ( 0.07) | 13.46% ( -0.08) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.17% ( -0.6) | 44.83% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.2% ( -0.48) | 80.8% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 3-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 4.78% 1-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.07)6-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)7-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)7-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)6-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 5.19% Total : 86.48% | 1-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.99% Total : 8.75% | 1-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 4.76% |
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