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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.79%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Bayern Munich |
42.82% ( -2.55) | 22.36% ( 0.74) | 34.82% ( 1.81) |
| Both teams to score 67.37% ( -2.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.97% ( -3.17) | 33.03% ( 3.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.25% ( -3.73) | 54.76% ( 3.74) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.83% ( -2.16) | 16.17% ( 2.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.36% ( -4.09) | 45.64% ( 4.1) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.36% ( -0.58) | 19.64% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.4% ( -0.97) | 51.6% ( 0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.54)2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.39)3-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.4)3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.38)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.35)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.2)4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.21)Other @ 3.73% Total : 42.82% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.72) 2-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.51)3-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.27)Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.45) 0-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.75)0-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.54)1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.26)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.08)3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.82% |
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