SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Pauli win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Holstein Kiel has a probability of 31.34% and a draw has a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win is 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.05%).
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
44.7% ( 0.57) | 23.96% ( 0.16) | 31.34% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 59.98% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.87% ( -1.04) | 42.13% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.46% ( -1.05) | 64.53% ( 1.05) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.92% ( -0.18) | 19.08% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.32% ( -0.3) | 50.68% ( 0.3) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% ( -0.95) | 25.88% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.14% ( -1.3) | 60.86% ( 1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.33)2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.31% Total : 44.7% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.34% |
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