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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.86%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | RB Leipzig |
47.49% ( 0.08) | 21.43% ( -0.01) | 31.08% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 69.3% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.14% ( 0.04) | 29.87% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.97% ( 0.04) | 51.03% ( -0.04) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.68% ( 0.04) | 13.32% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.83% ( 0.08) | 40.17% ( -0.07) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.96% ( -0.01) | 20.05% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.74% ( -0.02) | 52.26% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0)1-0 @ 5.38% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.71% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 47.49% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 7.01% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.67% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.52% ( 0)Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.43% | 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.05% Total : 31.08% |
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