Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 16.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
66.32%	17.22%	16.46%

Both teams to score 65.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.68%

26.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.37%

46.62%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.5%

7.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.07%

26.93%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.22%

28.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.37%

64.63%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 66.32%

Borussia Dortmund 16.46%

Draw 17.22%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.02% 3-1 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 7.24% 3-0 @ 6.25% 1-0 @ 5.59% 4-1 @ 5.04% 3-2 @ 4.85% 4-0 @ 4.05% 4-2 @ 3.14% 5-1 @ 2.61% 5-0 @ 2.1% 5-2 @ 1.63% 4-3 @ 1.3% 6-1 @ 1.13% 6-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.68% Total : 66.32%	1-1 @ 6.96% 2-2 @ 5.62% 0-0 @ 2.16% 3-3 @ 2.01% Other @ 0.46% Total : 17.22%	1-2 @ 4.34% 0-1 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-3 @ 1.8% 0-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.63% Total : 16.46%