SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | RB Leipzig |
35.66% ( -2.22) | 23.77% ( -0.15) | 40.57% ( 2.37) |
| Both teams to score 62.13% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.07% ( 0.53) | 39.93% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.71% ( 0.55) | 62.29% ( -0.55) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.63% ( -0.89) | 22.37% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.14% ( -1.36) | 55.86% ( 1.36) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.03% ( 1.35) | 19.97% ( -1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.87% ( 2.13) | 52.13% ( -2.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.35)2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.41)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.28)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.46% Total : 35.66% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.33)2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.3)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.2)2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.1% Total : 40.57% |
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