SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.34%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 20% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 1-3 (7.19%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (5.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
20% ( 0.05) | 19.66% ( 0.09) | 60.34% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 63.46% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.69% ( -0.37) | 32.31% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.07% ( -0.43) | 53.93% ( 0.43) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% ( -0.17) | 29.09% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.99% ( -0.21) | 65.01% ( 0.21) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.49% ( -0.15) | 10.51% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.81% ( -0.33) | 34.19% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 20% | 1-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.66% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 7.19% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 5.83% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 4.05% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 3.28% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.35% Total : 60.34% |
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