Schalke's improved performance and result against Koln should give them confidence of avoiding defeat against Farke's side, especially having been backed in the market this month.
However, Gladbach were ruthless against Hoffenheim and clearly have the better side on paper, which should see them earn a relatively comfortable victory in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 59.77%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 20.39% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.72%) and 3-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (5.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
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