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PL
Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
BL

PSG
0 - 1
Bayern


Kimpembe (70'), Neymar (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coman (53')
Pavard (26')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 54.98%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.8%) and 1-3 (6.68%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBayern Munich
24.32% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 20.7% (0.0039999999999978 0) 54.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 65.96% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.23% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)31.77% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.71% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)53.29% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.74% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)25.25% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.99% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)60.01% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.24% (-0.012 -0.01)11.75% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.08% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)36.92% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 24.32%
    Bayern Munich 54.98%
    Draw 20.7%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.02%
1-0 @ 4.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.004 -0)
2-0 @ 2.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 24.32%
1-1 @ 8.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 2.97% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 20.7%
1-2 @ 9.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.8% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.68%
0-1 @ 6.36% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.86% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 4.6% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-4 @ 3.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 2.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 2.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.53% (-0.002 -0)
3-4 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 1.11%
2-5 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 54.98%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Monaco 3-1 PSG
Saturday, February 11 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 PSG
Wednesday, February 8 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Toulouse
Saturday, February 4 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 PSG
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 1-1 Reims
Sunday, January 29 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Pays de Cassel 0-7 PSG
Monday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-4 Bayern
Sunday, February 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 0-4 Bayern
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 FC Koln
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-1 Bayern
Friday, January 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga


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