SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.42%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 14.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.07%) and 1-3 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.93%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
14.13% ( 0.08) | 16.45% ( 0.12) | 69.42% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 62.75% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.39% ( -0.39) | 27.61% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.74% ( -0.5) | 48.26% ( 0.49) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.64% ( -0.17) | 32.36% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.12% ( -0.19) | 68.88% ( 0.19) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.77% ( -0.14) | 7.23% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.79% ( -0.36) | 26.21% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 14.13% | 1-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.35% Total : 16.45% | 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 7.98% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 7.07% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 5.24% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 4.64% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 2.75% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 2.44% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)1-6 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)0-6 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.58% Total : 69.42% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
