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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 9, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
BL

Frankfurt
5 - 1
Bayern

Marmoush (12'), Ebimbe (31', 50'), Larsson (36'), Knauff (60')
Marmoush (67')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Kimmich (44')
Min-jae (23'), Sane (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 0-0 Copenhagen
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 0-3 Bayern Munich

Frankfurt's form has fallen off a cliff at the worst possible moment in terms of facing Germany's biggest club and strongest team. Only Freiburg and the bottom eight teams have scored fewer goals than Toppmoller's side in the Bundesliga so far this season, so we can envisage them blanking on Saturday. The same can certainly not be said for Bayern, who are outscoring every other side in Germany once again. Their defensive record of nine goals conceded in 12 games is also the best record, and they will be confident of moving top of the table with a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 54.27%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.9%) and 0-1 (6.59%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBayern Munich
24.71% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 21.01% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 54.27% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 65.27% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.14% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)32.85% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.44% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)54.56% (0.012 0.01)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)25.56% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.57% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)60.42% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)12.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)38.1%
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 24.71%
    Bayern Munich 54.27%
    Draw 21.01%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 4.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 2.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 24.71%
1-1 @ 8.99% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.01%
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.9% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 6.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 6.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 4.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-4 @ 3.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.52% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 2.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-5 @ 1.44%
3-4 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.06%
2-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 54.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Saarbrucken 2-0 Frankfurt
Wednesday, December 6 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, December 3 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-2 PAOK
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-2 Frankfurt
Sunday, November 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 0-1 Frankfurt
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Bayern 0-0 Copenhagen
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: FC Koln 0-1 Bayern
Friday, November 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 4-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, November 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-1 Galatasaray
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 0-4 Bayern
Saturday, November 4 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Saarbrucken 2-1 Bayern
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal


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