Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.96%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.95%) and 1-3 (6.79%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.