SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 54.36%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 23.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Manchester City |
23.78% ( -0.02) | 21.86% ( -0.01) | 54.36% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.98% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.01% ( 0.01) | 37.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.75% ( 0.01) | 60.25% ( -0.01) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.92% ( -0.01) | 29.08% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35% ( -0.01) | 65% ( 0.01) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.98% ( 0.01) | 14.01% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.45% ( 0.02) | 41.55% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 6.11% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.03% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.11% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 23.78% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.86% | 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 7.87% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.37% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.16% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.93% 1-4 @ 3.13% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.53% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.93% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.23% ( 0)0-5 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 3.5% Total : 54.36% |
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