SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 1-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Freiburg |
58.39% ( 0.09) | 21.31% ( -0.03) | 20.3% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.86% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.18% ( 0.03) | 39.81% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.83% ( 0.03) | 62.16% ( -0.04) |
| Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.61% ( 0.03) | 13.38% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.7% ( 0.07) | 40.29% ( -0.08) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% ( -0.05) | 33.19% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.19% ( -0.05) | 69.8% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.46% Total : 58.39% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.31% | 1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0)1-3 @ 2% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 20.3% |
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