SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Wolfsburg |
46.15% ( 0.06) | 23.71% ( 0) | 30.13% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 60.17% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.41% ( -0.06) | 41.58% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.01% ( -0.06) | 63.99% ( 0.06) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% ( 0) | 18.26% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.68% | 49.31% ( 0) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% ( -0.06) | 26.38% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.46% ( -0.09) | 61.53% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0)Other @ 3.6% Total : 46.15% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.14% |
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