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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
FL

Frankfurt
0 - 0
Freiburg


Ebimbe (45+2'), Pacho (52'), Koch (86'), Trapp (86')
FT

Ginter (33'), Eggestein (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-1 Aberdeen
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Olympiacos 2-3 Freiburg
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Freiburg

Frankfurt have been draw specialists so far this season, recording four 1-1 draws already in all competitions, and even though Freiburg are yet to draw this season, a close encounter is in store. Despite low-scoring starts for the two sides, both teams have scored in the last seven meetings here in Frankfurt - resulting in 25 goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 21.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawFreiburg
54.24% (0.523 0.52) 23.91% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06) 21.84% (-0.463 -0.46)
Both teams to score 51.55% (-0.414 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.71% (-0.248 -0.25)49.29% (0.245 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.65% (-0.223 -0.22)71.34% (0.21899999999999 0.22)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.92% (0.102 0.1)18.07% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.01% (0.178 0.18)48.99% (-0.181 -0.18)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.92% (-0.586 -0.59)37.07% (0.583 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.13% (-0.586 -0.59)73.86% (0.583 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 54.24%
    Freiburg 21.84%
    Draw 23.91%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.164 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.59% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 54.24%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.91%
0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 21.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-1 Aberdeen
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 16 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, September 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Levski Sofia
Thursday, August 31 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Levski Sofia 1-1 Frankfurt
Thursday, August 24 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Olympiacos 2-3 Freiburg
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Freiburg 2-4 Dortmund
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 5-0 Freiburg
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Freiburg
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Oberachern 0-2 Freiburg
Sunday, August 13 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal


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