SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Freiburg |
43.07% ( 0.47) | 23.5% ( 0.17) | 33.43% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 62.56% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.88% ( -1.02) | 39.11% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.56% ( -1.08) | 61.44% ( 1.08) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.46% ( -0.22) | 18.53% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.23% ( -0.37) | 49.77% ( 0.37) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.8% ( -0.83) | 23.2% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.9% ( -1.23) | 57.09% ( 1.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.58% Total : 43.07% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.11% Total : 33.43% |
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