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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
W

Hertha Berlin
0 - 5
Wolfsburg


Rogel (28'), Lukebakio (30')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Svanberg (4'), Arnold (31' pen.), Wind (34'), Baku (72'), Marmoush (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 6-0 Freiburg
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hertha Berlin 0-2 Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg boss Kovac will be forced into a couple of unwanted alterations for Tuesday's game, but the defensively-sound and clinical visitors will be expected to extend their impressive winning run here. Hertha tend to do well on the goalscoring front at home, but Wolfsburg have tightened up at the back ten-fold over the winter period and should encounter few issues en route to another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawWolfsburg
38.2% (-0.29799999999999 -0.3) 25.38% (-0.061 -0.06) 36.42% (0.362 0.36)
Both teams to score 56.39% (0.246 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.59% (0.30500000000001 0.31)47.41% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38% (0.282 0.28)69.63% (-0.279 -0.28)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.58% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)24.42% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.16% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)58.84% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.61% (0.34700000000001 0.35)25.39% (-0.344 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.8% (0.473 0.47)60.2% (-0.47 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 38.2%
    Wolfsburg 36.42%
    Draw 25.38%
Hertha BerlinDrawWolfsburg
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.16% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.9% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 38.2%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.5% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.21% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.83% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.061 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.66% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.042 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 36.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-0 FC Koln
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-3 Bayern
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-0 Hertha Berlin
Friday, October 28 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-1 Schalke
Sunday, October 23 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 6-0 Freiburg
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Brentford 2-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, December 17 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-0 Dortmund
Tuesday, November 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 0-3 Wolfsburg
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 4-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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