MX23RW : Saturday, April 1 20:45:41
SM
Saturday, April 1
Feb 26, 2022 at 2.30pm UK at Mage-Solar-Stadion
Freiburg
3 - 0
Hertha Berlin
Grifo (12' pen.), Schade (83'), Holer (86')
Hofler (21')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jovetic (24'), Andre Bjorkan (74')

We said: Freiburg 2-0 Hertha Berlin

With Hertha enduring such torrid form and missing a number of players on Saturday, all signs are pointing towards a comfortable Freiburg win in our view. The hosts are a tough side to beat on home soil and their visitors look in all sorts of trouble, so Freiburg look set to continue their charge towards European qualification, and pile the misery on their visitors in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 59.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 19.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawHertha Berlin
59.03%21.75%19.22%
Both teams to score 54.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.57%43.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.18%65.82%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.63%14.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.75%42.24%
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.61%36.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.82%73.18%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 59.02%
    Hertha Berlin 19.22%
    Draw 21.75%
FreiburgDrawHertha Berlin
1-0 @ 10.14%
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.84%
3-1 @ 6.43%
3-0 @ 6.37%
3-2 @ 3.25%
4-1 @ 3.12%
4-0 @ 3.09%
4-2 @ 1.58%
5-1 @ 1.21%
5-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 59.02%
1-1 @ 10.25%
0-0 @ 5.23%
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.75%
0-1 @ 5.29%
1-2 @ 5.18%
0-2 @ 2.67%
1-3 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 19.22%

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Bundesliga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26167376294755
2Borussia DortmundDortmund26172757352253
3Union BerlinUnion Berlin26156541281351
4Freiburg2613853935447
5RB Leipzig26136749331645
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26118747371041
7Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26124104840840
8Mainz 05Mainz2611784336740
9Wolfsburg26109746341239
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach2587104044-431
11Werder Bremen2594123948-931
12Augsburg2685133447-1329
13FC Koln2569103344-1127
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum2682162857-2926
15Hoffenheim2564153345-1222
16Hertha Berlin2657143149-1822
17Schalke 04Schalke2649132148-2721
18Stuttgart2648142945-1620
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