Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.
