Wolfsburg's season appears to have hit a major bump in the road in recent weeks, with Kovac's side seemingly unable to defend to any decent standard. Although their home form has been much stronger than their away record, we believe that they could be vulnerable to another defeat this weekend.
Indeed, Freiburg enjoyed a free midweek having already been eliminated from the DFB-Pokal, so they could be fresher as they look to gain back-to-back victories away from home.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
0) 
-0.01) 
