SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Mainz 05 |
37.61% ( 0.5) | 25.25% ( -0.04) | 37.14% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 56.88% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.21% ( 0.2) | 46.79% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.95% ( 0.19) | 69.05% ( -0.18) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.55% ( 0.36) | 24.45% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.11% ( 0.5) | 58.89% ( -0.5) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% ( -0.16) | 24.71% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.75% ( -0.22) | 59.25% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.89% Total : 37.61% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 37.14% |
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