SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.78%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
40.5% ( -0.07) | 23.43% ( -0.09) | 36.06% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 63.49% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.82% ( 0.47) | 38.18% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.54% ( 0.5) | 60.45% ( -0.5) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.74% ( 0.17) | 19.26% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.02% ( 0.27) | 50.98% ( -0.27) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.63% ( 0.3) | 21.36% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.66% ( 0.46) | 54.33% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 3.37% Total : 40.5% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.06% |
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