Augsburg have improved at home, but their defence is still shaky, shown by some of their results on the road.
Under new management, it was a tough assignment last week against Leverkusen, so Matarazzo must ensure to get his team up for this one against a relegation rival.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
0.16) 
-0.33) 
