SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 50.27%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Freiburg |
50.27% ( 0.12) | 23.7% ( 0.04) | 26.03% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 57.03% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.69% ( -0.3) | 44.31% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.31% ( -0.29) | 66.68% ( 0.29) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.29% ( -0.07) | 17.7% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.64% ( -0.12) | 48.35% ( 0.12) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.3% ( -0.28) | 30.7% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.05% ( -0.33) | 66.95% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.7% Total : 50.27% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.03% |
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