SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 55.75%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 22.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Heidenheim |
55.75% ( -0.26) | 21.74% ( 0.07) | 22.51% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 59.69% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.07% ( -0.09) | 38.93% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.75% ( -0.1) | 61.25% ( 0.1) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.1% ( -0.11) | 13.9% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.67% ( -0.22) | 41.33% ( 0.22) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.33% ( 0.12) | 30.67% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.08% ( 0.14) | 66.92% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.42% Total : 55.75% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.74% | 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.85% Total : 22.51% |
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