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HL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 21, 2021 at 5pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
WB

Hoffenheim
4 - 0
Werder Bremen

Bebou (26'), Baumgartner (44'), Dabour (49'), Rutter (90')
Rudy (16'), Kaderabek (51')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Toprak (8'), Friedl (69')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawWerder Bremen
48.51%22.68%28.81%
Both teams to score 63.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.55%37.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.33%59.67%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.22%15.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.08%44.92%
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84%25.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.12%59.88%
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 48.51%
    Werder Bremen 28.81%
    Draw 22.67%
HoffenheimDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.34%
1-0 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 6.77%
3-1 @ 5.75%
3-0 @ 4.17%
3-2 @ 3.97%
4-1 @ 2.65%
4-0 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 1.83%
5-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 48.51%
1-1 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 6.44%
0-0 @ 3.97%
3-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.67%
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-1 @ 5.48%
0-2 @ 3.78%
1-3 @ 3.21%
2-3 @ 2.96%
0-3 @ 1.74%
1-4 @ 1.11%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 28.81%

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