Holstein Kiel are in strong goalscoring form, and they will be confident of finding the back of the net against the visitors.
However, Freiburg have also managed to create numerous chances in recent weeks, and they boast an excellent record away from home.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 48%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.
0.39) 
-0.53) 
