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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Augsburg |
34.5% ( 0.69) | 23.63% ( -0.12) | 41.87% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 62.39% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.51% ( 0.77) | 39.49% ( -0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.17% ( 0.8) | 61.83% ( -0.8) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.22% ( 0.74) | 22.78% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.52% ( 1.09) | 56.48% ( -1.08) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.8% ( 0.07) | 19.2% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.11% ( 0.12) | 50.89% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Augsburg |
| 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.25% Total : 34.5% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 2% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.35% Total : 41.87% |
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