SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 17.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Mainz 05 |
61.87% ( -0.19) | 20.4% ( 0.08) | 17.72% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 56.29% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.34% ( -0.18) | 39.66% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.99% ( -0.18) | 62.01% ( 0.18) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.68% ( -0.11) | 12.32% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.88% ( -0.22) | 38.12% ( 0.22) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.2% ( 0.01) | 35.8% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.42% ( 0.02) | 72.57% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.67% 1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.77% Total : 61.87% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.4% | 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 17.72% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
