Rose seems to have decided attack is the best form of defence at Leipzig, and we can envisage them gaining a narrow victory as a result on Saturday.
Mainz have not looked at their best in recent times and, while they are never likely to be pushovers under Svensson, they may lack a bit of quality to get a positive result at the weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
0.01) 
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