SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.04%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
16.02% ( 0.13) | 19.93% ( 0.1) | 64.04% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 54.18% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.35% ( -0.23) | 40.65% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.96% ( -0.23) | 63.04% ( 0.24) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.58% ( 0.02) | 38.42% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.83% ( 0.02) | 75.17% ( -0.02) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.98% ( -0.13) | 12.02% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.52% ( -0.28) | 37.48% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mainz 05 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 16.02% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.93% | 0-2 @ 10.36% 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 7.32% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 7% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 3.88% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.71% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.74% Total : 64.04% |
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