We expect Hoffenheim to return to winning ways away to Schalke on Friday, with defeat potentially signalling the end of Kramer's time in charge in Gelsenkirchen.
A fourth successive defeat could see Schalke drop to the bottom of the Bundesliga depending on results elsewhere over the weekend, and performances of late have simply not been good enough.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 37.06% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.01) 
