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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 15, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
HL

Bayern
1 - 1
Hoffenheim

Pavard (17')
Pavard (57'), Upamecano (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kramaric (71')
Akpoguma (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 3-0 Bayern
Tuesday, April 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-0 Schalke
Sunday, April 9 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Hoffenheim

Bayern must wish they were instead facing Hoffenheim this time last month, when their forthcoming opponents had collected only two points from 14 matches, stretching back to a 2-0 defeat to the Bavarians in October. However, while Matarazzo's side's improved form undoubtedly makes them tricky opposition, Tuchel's side should possess more than enough quality to keep them at arm's length for the most part and remain top of the table with a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 79.51%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 7.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.66%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHoffenheim
79.51% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01) 12.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 7.86% (0.0068999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.95% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)27.05% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.44% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)47.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.7% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)5.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.13% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)20.87% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.37% (0.010999999999996 0.01)42.63% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.02% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)78.97% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 79.51%
    Hoffenheim 7.86%
    Draw 12.62%
Bayern MunichDrawHoffenheim
2-0 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 9.54% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 8.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 8.14%
4-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 6.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 5.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 4.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 2.55%
6-0 @ 2.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
6-1 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 5.28%
Total : 79.51%
1-1 @ 5.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.54% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-0 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 12.62%
1-2 @ 2.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 7.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Man City 3-0 Bayern
Tuesday, April 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Freiburg 0-1 Bayern
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-2 Freiburg
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Bayern 4-2 Dortmund
Saturday, April 1 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Bayern
Sunday, March 19 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 5-3 Augsburg
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-0 Schalke
Sunday, April 9 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Hoffenheim
Sunday, April 2 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, March 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-0 Hoffenheim
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-1 Dortmund
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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