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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Oct 6, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
HL

Stuttgart
1 - 1
Hoffenheim

Demirovic (90+9')
Mittelstadt (26')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gendrey (45')
Bischof (45+3'), Grillitsch (55'), Kramaric (66'), Chaves (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 Sparta Prague
Tuesday, October 1 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-0 Dynamo Kiev
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Stuttgart 3-1 Hoffenheim

While Stuttgart have been inconsistent this term, it is difficult to see them dropping points at home given their strong record at MHPArena. Additionally, Hoffenheim are in poor form, and it would be surprising if they managed to avoid defeat on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 70.54%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 3-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.76%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
StuttgartDrawHoffenheim
70.54% (-0.822 -0.82) 16.04% (0.377 0.38) 13.42% (0.447 0.45)
Both teams to score 62.34% (-0.199 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.75% (-0.8 -0.8)27.24% (0.801 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.2% (-1.013 -1.01)47.79% (1.014 1.01)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.07% (-0.342 -0.34)6.92% (0.342 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.59% (-0.92100000000001 -0.92)25.41% (0.922 0.92)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.97% (0.031999999999996 0.03)33.02% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39% (0.038999999999998 0.04)69.61% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 70.54%
    Hoffenheim 13.42%
    Draw 16.04%
StuttgartDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.116 0.12)
2-0 @ 8.15% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
3-1 @ 8.04% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.26% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.11% (0.186 0.19)
4-1 @ 5.37% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-0 @ 4.84% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-2 @ 4.45% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.97% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-1 @ 2.87% (-0.127 -0.13)
5-0 @ 2.59% (-0.117 -0.12)
5-2 @ 1.59% (-0.069 -0.07)
6-1 @ 1.28% (-0.082 -0.08)
6-0 @ 1.15% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-3 @ 1.1% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 70.54%
1-1 @ 6.76% (0.211 0.21)
2-2 @ 5% (0.069 0.07)
0-0 @ 2.29% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 16.04%
1-2 @ 3.75% (0.12 0.12)
0-1 @ 2.53% (0.125 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.4% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.38% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 13.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 Sparta Prague
Tuesday, October 1 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 5-1 Dortmund
Sunday, September 22 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-1 Stuttgart
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-3 Mainz
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-0 Dynamo Kiev
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-4 Werder Bremen
Sunday, September 29 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 1-1 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, September 25 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-4 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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