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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor
W

SV Darmstadt 98
0 - 1
Wolfsburg


Honsak (69'), Gjasula (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Majer (63')
Kovac (28')
Lacroix (27')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 3-2 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: SV Darmstadt 98 1-2 Wolfsburg

Saturday's fixture represents a good opportunity for both Darmstadt and Wolfsburg to return to winning ways and climb away from danger before the mid-season winter break begins in the middle of next week. Wolfsburg have endured a miserable run of form away from home, but their attackers should have more joy in the final third against a leaky Darmstadt backline that has conceded an average of 2.6 goals per game so far this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
SV Darmstadt 98DrawWolfsburg
39.99% (-0.179 -0.18) 23.93% (-0.142 -0.14) 36.09% (0.322 0.32)
Both teams to score 61.63% (0.579 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.39% (0.737 0.74)40.61% (-0.735 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.01% (0.75 0.75)62.99% (-0.749 -0.75)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.48% (0.233 0.23)20.52% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.98% (0.368 0.37)53.02% (-0.366 -0.37)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.55% (0.50500000000001 0.51)22.45% (-0.505 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.01% (0.749 0.75)55.99% (-0.748 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    SV Darmstadt 98 39.99%
    Wolfsburg 36.09%
    Draw 23.93%
SV Darmstadt 98DrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.3% (-0.195 -0.2)
2-0 @ 5.78% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.4% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 39.99%
1-1 @ 10.9% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.45% (0.069 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 8.14% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.88% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.05% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.082 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.05 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.2% (0.048 0.05)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 36.09%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Heidenheim 3-2 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 0-1 FC Koln
Friday, December 1 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 0-0 Mainz
Saturday, November 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 1-2 VfL Bochum
Friday, November 3 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 8-0 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, December 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 4-0 Wolfsburg
Friday, November 10 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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