SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.93%) and 0-2 (5.32%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
35.01% ( 0.04) | 22.52% ( -0) | 42.47% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 66.8% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.22% ( 0.02) | 33.78% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.38% ( 0.02) | 55.62% ( -0.02) |
| SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.11% ( 0.03) | 19.89% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.99% ( 0.05) | 52.01% ( -0.04) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.39% ( -0.01) | 16.62% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.57% ( -0.02) | 46.44% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.34% 2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.01% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.24% ( 0)Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.14% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.15% 0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.86% 0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0)3-4 @ 1% Other @ 3.54% Total : 42.47% |
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