SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Union Berlin |
47.29% ( 2.3) | 25.38% ( -0.52) | 27.33% ( -1.79) |
| Both teams to score 52.67% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.43% ( 1.08) | 50.57% ( -1.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.51% ( 0.95) | 72.49% ( -0.95) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.6% ( 1.5) | 21.39% ( -1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.61% ( 2.26) | 54.38% ( -2.27) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% ( -0.8) | 32.99% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.42% ( -0.9) | 69.57% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.38)3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.32)3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.38)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.2)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.21)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.43% Total : 47.28% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.53) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.4)1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.48% Total : 27.33% |
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