SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
28.01% ( 0.18) | 20.69% ( -0.03) | 51.3% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 69.93% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.8% ( 0.27) | 28.19% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.02% ( 0.34) | 48.98% ( -0.34) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( 0.25) | 20.91% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.36% ( 0.38) | 53.63% ( -0.39) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.42% ( 0.05) | 11.58% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.45% ( 0.11) | 36.54% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.97% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 28.01% | 1-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.69% | 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.07)0-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 4.95% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.41% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.47% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 51.3% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
