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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Sep 30, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
BM

VfL Bochum
1 - 3
Borussia M'bach

Losilla (68')
Bernardo (52'), Gamboa (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Neuhaus (27'), Plea (37', 45+3')
Itakura (45+1'), Kramer (81'), Cvancara (90+10')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 7-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: VfL Bochum 1-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

Neither team has started the season as well as they would have hoped so far, particularly the visitors, whose decline across the last couple of years appears set to reach new lows if they are not careful. Bochum are generally very difficult to beat on their home turf under Letsch, and we can envisage the two sides' winless runs both continuing for another weekend at least, with a draw the most likely outcome between two relatively evenly-matched sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.12%) and 0-2 (5.4%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.

Result
VfL BochumDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
35.12% (0.14 0.14) 22.71% (-0.13 -0.13) 42.17% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 66.09% (0.54599999999999 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.28% (0.69500000000001 0.7)34.73% (-0.689 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.32% (0.774 0.77)56.68% (-0.76900000000001 -0.77)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.73% (0.39100000000001 0.39)20.27% (-0.384 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.38% (0.614 0.61)52.62% (-0.608 -0.61)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.88% (0.28400000000001 0.28)17.12% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.67% (0.494 0.49)47.33% (-0.489 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 35.12%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 42.17%
    Draw 22.71%
VfL BochumDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 7.8% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.54% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.42% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.66% (0.069 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.035 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 35.12%
1-1 @ 9.77% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.88% (0.049 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.47% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-3 @ 2.16% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.71%
1-2 @ 8.63% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.12% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 5.08% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 4.05% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.24% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.79% (0.045 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 0.95% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 42.17%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bayern 7-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 16 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Dortmund
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 5-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 VfL Bochum (4-1 pen.)
Saturday, August 12 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 3-3 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, September 17 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-2 Bayern
Saturday, September 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 4-4 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bersenbruck 0-7 Borussia M'bach
Friday, August 11 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal


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