SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 58.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 20.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
58.06% ( 0.59) | 21.42% ( -0.24) | 20.51% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 57.82% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.96% ( 0.61) | 40.03% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.6% ( 0.62) | 62.39% ( -0.63) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.44% ( 0.38) | 13.55% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.36% ( 0.76) | 40.63% ( -0.76) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.88% ( 0) | 33.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.28% ( 0) | 69.71% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.39% Total : 58.06% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.42% | 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.29% Total : 20.51% |
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