SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 52.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 23.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | VfL Bochum |
52.51% ( -0.14) | 24.11% ( 0.03) | 23.37% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.85% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.49% ( -0.01) | 48.5% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.37% ( -0.01) | 70.63% ( 0.01) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.57% ( -0.06) | 18.43% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.4% ( -0.1) | 49.6% ( 0.1) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.8% ( 0.1) | 35.2% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.04% ( 0.11) | 71.95% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mainz 05 | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 52.51% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 23.37% |
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