Mainz are enjoying their best season in recent memory and have dominated this fixture with four wins and a draw in their last five league encounters against Bochum. The hosts ended 2024 with five wins in their last six games, and we feel they will kickstart the New Year with a victory in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
-0.21) 
0.05) 
