SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Chelsea |
45.17% ( -0.06) | 23.26% ( -0.03) | 31.56% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 62.61% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.28% ( 0.21) | 38.72% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.97% ( 0.22) | 61.03% ( -0.22) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.48% ( 0.06) | 17.52% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.96% ( 0.1) | 48.04% ( -0.1) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.91% ( 0.16) | 24.09% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.62% ( 0.23) | 58.38% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 3.97% Total : 45.17% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.56% |
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