SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Manchester United | 6 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 6 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 6 | 9 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
48.73% ( 0.01) | 24.32% ( 0.03) | 26.95% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.77% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.64% ( -0.17) | 46.36% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.35% ( -0.16) | 68.65% ( 0.16) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.9% ( -0.06) | 19.1% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.28% ( -0.1) | 50.72% ( 0.11) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.93% ( -0.12) | 31.07% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.61% ( -0.14) | 67.39% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 48.73% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 26.95% |
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