Milan's lengthy injury list will have the home crowd travelling to Stamford Bridge with plenty of optimism, but Pioli is still packed with quality options in all areas of the field, including two former Blues determined to make an impact upon their return to the capital.
Chelsea have yet to experience a new manager bounce under Potter, and while Milan's depleted squad should not travel back to base with maximum spoils, the hosts' wait for a European win may continue as they settle for a point against the resilient Scudetto holders.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
-0.16) 
0.2) 
