SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Atalanta BC | 6 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 6 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Udinese | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.66%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 22.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
56.66% ( 0.09) | 21.27% ( 0.01) | 22.07% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 60.78% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.77% ( -0.16) | 37.23% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.56% ( -0.17) | 59.44% ( 0.17) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.95% ( -0.02) | 13.06% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.37% ( -0.05) | 39.64% ( 0.05) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% ( -0.17) | 30.1% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.76% ( -0.21) | 66.24% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 8% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.64% 3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 3.86% Total : 56.66% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 22.07% |
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